English
Arbus, the prediction market for Lithuania
Arbus is a Lithuanian-language iOS app where people forecast the outcomes of real events in politics, sport and culture. Prices move with the crowd's opinion, correct forecasts earn credits, and credits buy real prizes. No real-money betting, no crypto, no cash-out.
Prices are probabilities
Every market lists outcomes with prices that always add up to 100. A price of 70 means the community thinks the outcome is about 70 % likely. Buying an outcome pushes its price up through an automated market maker.
Credits, not money
You forecast with virtual credits. New accounts receive starting credits, correct forecasts earn more, and credits can never be cashed out or transferred. That is what makes Arbus a game of skill rather than gambling.
Real prizes
Credits are spent in the in-app shop on real rewards such as gift cards from Lithuanian and international brands. Positions can be sold before an event resolves to lock in a profit or cut a loss.
Made for Lithuania
Markets cover what matters locally: national politics and elections, basketball, Eurovision, culture and everyday events, all in Lithuanian. The app is for adults aged 18 and over.
How it works
- Pick a market, for example whether Lithuania qualifies for the next round of a tournament.
- Buy the outcome you believe in. The price you pay reflects the current probability.
- Sell early at the market price, or hold until the event resolves and collect credits if you were right.
- Exchange credits for prizes in the shop.
Get notified at launch
The app is being prepared for the App Store. Leave your email and we will write when it is available. Questions: labas@arbus.lt. Arbus is built in Palanga, Lithuania.
Esi laukiančiųjų sąraše!
Parašysime, kai tik Arbus bus prieinama.